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tonight president obama is ahead in the polls. today wisconsin become a hot campaign spot for both candidates. vice president biden talked to the voters at the red mug coffee shop in superior wisconsin, but he got up staged in milwaukee. katy perry performed some of her hit songs at the crowded rally before president obama spoke. she asked everybody there to donate to the red cross. she made this offer to encourage people to vote. >> if you're over 18, and you've got some real cool outfit you're going to wear on tuesday, you tweet that to me and i'll retweet you. because i'm going to pull out for sure as well. >> president obama didn't talk fashion. >> wisconsin, after four years as president, you know me. and so, so, you know -- you know me. you've watched me age before your eyes. and you may not agree with every decision i've made. sometimes you may have been frustrated by the pace of change, but you know where i stand. you know what i believe. you know i mean what i say. and i say what i mean. >> we are joined tonight by wiscon
tonight president obama is ahead in the polls. today wisconsin become a hot campaign spot for both candidates. vice president biden talked to the voters at the red mug coffee shop in superior wisconsin, but he got up staged in milwaukee. katy perry performed some of her hit songs at the crowded rally before president obama spoke. she asked everybody there to donate to the red cross. she made this offer to encourage people to vote. >> if you're over 18, and you've got some real cool outfit...
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Nov 4, 2012
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>> i think right now i'd rather be barack obama than mitt romney. if you look at the polls, his campaign feels pretty good about where they are, and so he's sort of enjoying this. >> i get up this morning and started clocking it around 8:00. i started clocking minute to minute to minute to get the jobless number. then i go, i did say this before, i said if it's underrated it's okay for obama. if it's up a tick it's okay. but i didn't think the good news would be 171,000 new jobs, which is way above the 125,000 predicted, and now we have three months of 170,000-plus. >> you notice -- >> so it is starting to go up substantially. >> if you compare it to what happened when -- four years ago, i think they lost 400,000 jobs or so this month, it is change for the better. i notice -- >> i'd say. >> i notice today there was a lot less arguing about these jobs numbers than there have been the last -- >> you spoke too soon. someone who wasn't pleased with the jobs report was mitt romney. here he is with his statement. the candidate said, quote, this is a state
>> i think right now i'd rather be barack obama than mitt romney. if you look at the polls, his campaign feels pretty good about where they are, and so he's sort of enjoying this. >> i get up this morning and started clocking it around 8:00. i started clocking minute to minute to minute to get the jobless number. then i go, i did say this before, i said if it's underrated it's okay for obama. if it's up a tick it's okay. but i didn't think the good news would be 171,000 new jobs,...
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Nov 3, 2012
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the poll says obama will win in the swing states. nate silver says obama is ahead in the swing states and win the electoral college. the polls are usually right. the model acknowledges the polls could be wrong. that chance is at 15% based on the same sort of analysis i gave earlier that look there are a few examples when the polls are off this much. ken buck, sharon engel, hilary and obama in new hampshire but more the exception than rule therefore obama is the favorite. if obama wins i don't think that makes, you know, nate silver or myself or anyone else who stairs at the polls and says obama is favored, you know, being incredibly insightful. polls are right and pollsters get the credit. if obama loses i don't think nate silver should be panned out. i don't think either. >> never pan you. >> you could use your wizardry to answer this question. isn't it quite possible at this point in terms of electoral college when you're looking at the key battleground states the president has a lead in most them. isn't it possible the president w
the poll says obama will win in the swing states. nate silver says obama is ahead in the swing states and win the electoral college. the polls are usually right. the model acknowledges the polls could be wrong. that chance is at 15% based on the same sort of analysis i gave earlier that look there are a few examples when the polls are off this much. ken buck, sharon engel, hilary and obama in new hampshire but more the exception than rule therefore obama is the favorite. if obama wins i don't...
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Nov 4, 2012
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the dispatch poll, plus two obama, within the margin of error. florida poll, miami herald has right now romney plus six. so we go into this weekend, and republicans hoping this is a replay of 1980 where ronald reagan made a late break. but reagan had started his break a little earlier. by sunday, jimmy carter knew the race was over. if this is a late break, it's a really late break. looking at the polls, romney can do it. the question is, whether the hurricane stopped the momentum for 48 hours and if that will stop him from overtaking the president.an >> tom brokaw, you have seen this before, and you have the ultimate political foe of the president giving him such high marks. a republican and a democrat working together, leadership at the highest level, and this has been a problem for the >> the president reached across party lines. some of our polling people have been talking to undecided voters out there in colorado and other places, and they saw the president as a leader in a way they had not before, because nothing like a hurricane or nationa
the dispatch poll, plus two obama, within the margin of error. florida poll, miami herald has right now romney plus six. so we go into this weekend, and republicans hoping this is a replay of 1980 where ronald reagan made a late break. but reagan had started his break a little earlier. by sunday, jimmy carter knew the race was over. if this is a late break, it's a really late break. looking at the polls, romney can do it. the question is, whether the hurricane stopped the momentum for 48 hours...
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Nov 3, 2012
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the older university poll has a nine point lead for obama. two other polls in the last couple days with a five point lead. >> why is the president there? >> that makes total sense. he's in iowa, wisconsin and ohio. you can't see a avenue for romney to go in. he's helping out a senate candidate. she's in a very tight, tight close race. that really is a close one. obama coming in twice, i think is very helpful to her. >> the president is going to be in madison in a few days. how big a deal is that going to be? >> i saw the street closing list. it's going to be a little hard to drive around. he's bringing bruce springsteen who madison loves. it's going to be a morning rally. i suspect not a lot of work will get done that day. >> let's talk about paul ryan. this is unusual that man that's running for two seats in one day. is he in trouble in this house seat? this is probably the best candidate, i keep hearing this that rob zerban is the most formidable candidate that's gone against paul ryan. >> ryan has never had below 57% of the vote. he's won
the older university poll has a nine point lead for obama. two other polls in the last couple days with a five point lead. >> why is the president there? >> that makes total sense. he's in iowa, wisconsin and ohio. you can't see a avenue for romney to go in. he's helping out a senate candidate. she's in a very tight, tight close race. that really is a close one. obama coming in twice, i think is very helpful to her. >> the president is going to be in madison in a few days. how...
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Nov 4, 2012
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tonight president obama is ahead in the polls. but romney has for rowed the lead in the last couple of months. today wisconsin become a hot campaign spot for both candidates. vice president biden talked to the voters at the red mug coffee shop in superior wisconsin, but he got upstaged in milwaukee. pop star katy perry performed some of her hit songs at the crowded rally before president obama spoke. she asked everybody there to donate to the red cross. she made this offer to encourage people to vote. >> if you're over 18, and you've got some real cool outfit you're going to wear on tuesday, you tweet that to me and i'll retweet you. all right? because i'm going to pull out one for sure, as well. >> president obama didn't talk fashion. >> wisconsin, after four years as president, you know me. and so -- so, you know -- you know me. you've watched me age before your eyes. and you may not agree with every decision i've made. sometimes you may have been frustrated by the pace of change, but you know where i stand. you know what i beli
tonight president obama is ahead in the polls. but romney has for rowed the lead in the last couple of months. today wisconsin become a hot campaign spot for both candidates. vice president biden talked to the voters at the red mug coffee shop in superior wisconsin, but he got upstaged in milwaukee. pop star katy perry performed some of her hit songs at the crowded rally before president obama spoke. she asked everybody there to donate to the red cross. she made this offer to encourage people...
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obama was polling the same way the whole time. in 2000 there was this assumption that it was going to break for bush and it never did. >> for those of us who work long hours, sometimes it's hard to remember, it's exciting. it's an exciting time, right? it could go either way. i think what you're seeing is part of the reason that it's not. we always talk about a break and then don't end up seeing onenessly. it's all about turnout now. it's all about getting voters to the polls. so who has momentum and who doesn't, it's a momentum game. >> number two, the break for gore and it was barely -- and the real break happened in democratic senate races. >> it's interesting, going back to 1984, very quickly, the difference in that break and obviously we were still in diapers back then -- >> i was out of diapers. maybe i shouldn't have been. >> veg began appeared to have the confidence and appeared to be the incumbent. >> i've had romney people admit to me they have to have some momentum. they believe it's a point in turnout. that's why they
obama was polling the same way the whole time. in 2000 there was this assumption that it was going to break for bush and it never did. >> for those of us who work long hours, sometimes it's hard to remember, it's exciting. it's an exciting time, right? it could go either way. i think what you're seeing is part of the reason that it's not. we always talk about a break and then don't end up seeing onenessly. it's all about turnout now. it's all about getting voters to the polls. so who has...
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until florida our new poll has president obama up. ohio we still have the president holding his lead. 51% to 45%. and in a recent poll of likely voters in virginia, the president was up 2 points, a statistical tie and nbc news has it's own coming out tomorrow morning. look at the ad spending in these three states. more than half a billion collectively in the mega states of flohva. they're not just spending money there, they're spending time. the president will have visited the sunshine state 14 times, for mitt romney it's 16. president obama will have made 19 stops in ohio, governor romney will be there 21 times. so let's get to our special panel. adam smith is the political editor, chris booker, wcmh and larry sabado. larry, let me start with you. the state of virginia, last time it was the closest to the country, the national popular vote. it was the one point off if you will of what obama -- mccain's numbers were, does the winner of the popular vote win virginia, larry? >> i think virginia is very very, close, chuck. i think you co
until florida our new poll has president obama up. ohio we still have the president holding his lead. 51% to 45%. and in a recent poll of likely voters in virginia, the president was up 2 points, a statistical tie and nbc news has it's own coming out tomorrow morning. look at the ad spending in these three states. more than half a billion collectively in the mega states of flohva. they're not just spending money there, they're spending time. the president will have visited the sunshine state 14...
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Oct 28, 2012
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polls show barack obama consistently ahead in iowa and wisconsin. if he holds on there, he won both last time, he just needs to win florida, ohio or virginia. he's behind in florida and a dead heat in virginia. he seems to be ahead in ohio. it's why the candidates are spending so much time in that state. obama has a 73.6% chance of winning. it's hard to imagine a romney victory without winning ohio. okay. everybody is in ohio. it's such a bizarre undertaking to go through the map and everyone now has these nice interactive things. is that your sense of the race? my sense of the race is that it's very hard to see it not coming down to ohio if we are sitting down on election night figuring out what the call is going to be made, it looks like ohio is going to determine it. you have been around the country. i'm just curious, what sort of the mood has been in different swing districts that you have been in? you are active in all parts of the country. >> we have been active in a number of battleground states. i have most recently been to ohio and new hamp
polls show barack obama consistently ahead in iowa and wisconsin. if he holds on there, he won both last time, he just needs to win florida, ohio or virginia. he's behind in florida and a dead heat in virginia. he seems to be ahead in ohio. it's why the candidates are spending so much time in that state. obama has a 73.6% chance of winning. it's hard to imagine a romney victory without winning ohio. okay. everybody is in ohio. it's such a bizarre undertaking to go through the map and everyone...
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tracy, good morning. >> lynn, one of the latest national polls out there give president obama just a 1%age point lead nationally. that is a tie. the president heads back out today to speak with voters. president obama's back on the campaign trail today. new nbc poll show him ahead by six in iowa, three in wisconsin, and two in new hampshire. but this week he focused on new jersey. >> we're not going to tolerate red patape. >> reporter: touring storm damage with republican rival chris christie. >> i can not thank the president enough for his personal concern and compassion for our state. there will be some folks who criticize me for complimenting him. well, you know what? i speak the truth. >> reporter: the president is picking up political points. >> the message that christie is sending voters is that obama is doing a good job. he's not a scary, socialist person. he is somebody who can be trusted. >> reporter: in florida, governor romney criticized the administration's record helping small business. >> sometimes regulators seem to look at businesses like they're the enemy. >> reporte
tracy, good morning. >> lynn, one of the latest national polls out there give president obama just a 1%age point lead nationally. that is a tie. the president heads back out today to speak with voters. president obama's back on the campaign trail today. new nbc poll show him ahead by six in iowa, three in wisconsin, and two in new hampshire. but this week he focused on new jersey. >> we're not going to tolerate red patape. >> reporter: touring storm damage with republican...
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in new hampshire president obama polled at 49%, mitt romney at 47% and detroit press poll and cnn poll showed in colorado president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 48%. tonight president obama has an 81% chance of winning re-election. alex cwagner, so mike bloomberg somehow finally made up his mind. everyone is focused on the climate change. in that article he mentions the pez's position on abortion and the health care law. so this isn't just this week. this is something that mayor bloomberg has been thinking about for some time and it is coming as the president finished the bromance tour with chris christie. it is a good week for the president. >> when you read the mayor's reasons, what was he waiting for. there wasn't a single thing that he was in line for? >> it seems to me that he is someone who has a large conception on his role on american national affairs and an early endorsement would not preserve that. the mayor's people say there is off the recoorecord reporters ae time. if you look at the economists the center right conservative publication, what you see is that the presiden
in new hampshire president obama polled at 49%, mitt romney at 47% and detroit press poll and cnn poll showed in colorado president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 48%. tonight president obama has an 81% chance of winning re-election. alex cwagner, so mike bloomberg somehow finally made up his mind. everyone is focused on the climate change. in that article he mentions the pez's position on abortion and the health care law. so this isn't just this week. this is something that mayor bloomberg...
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there's a poll out showing president obama up four there. that's 270, even if you were to give romney iowa and colorado, he's at 268. not quite enough, and that's as tight as it gets, thomas. >> thanks so much. i will talk more with you, but i found out we're cutting to mayor michael bloomberg giving an update to hurricane preparedness for hurricane sandy. >> there's no chance the mass transit will be back in time to serve people. we're worried about cleanup, even though the storm should aabate dramatic alally into tuesday. sandy will make landfall south of atlantic city this evening, and that keeps new york city well within the damage zone of the storm. as of now we're under a coastal flood warning from now through 3:00 p.m. on tuesday. a high wind warning through 6:00 p.m. tomorrow. this is a massive storm. hurricane-force winds extend some 175 miles in every direction of this center. the storm may strengthen as it meets the cold front approaching from the northwest, and that is when it changes from a tropical storm to a nor'easter, who ha
there's a poll out showing president obama up four there. that's 270, even if you were to give romney iowa and colorado, he's at 268. not quite enough, and that's as tight as it gets, thomas. >> thanks so much. i will talk more with you, but i found out we're cutting to mayor michael bloomberg giving an update to hurricane preparedness for hurricane sandy. >> there's no chance the mass transit will be back in time to serve people. we're worried about cleanup, even though the storm...
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in pennsylvania, a ppp poll has president obama at 52% and mitt romney at 46%. in wisconsin, president obama at 51% and mitt romney at 48%. in iowa, president obama at 47% and mitt romney at 42%. as of this afternoon, nate silver of "the new york times" 538 blog forecasts on november 6, president obama has an 85% chance of re-election and president obama will win 307 electoral votes and mitt romney 231. earlier today, chris matthews sat down for an exclusive with vice president joe biden. >> what do you think is going to happen? >> i think we're going to win. i don't think it's going to be close in the electoral college. i think we're going to win clearly and i think we're going to win this state, ohio. i've been in here 23, 24 days, we're going to win iowa, wisconsin, nevada, new hampshire. i think we've got an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. don't just vote. bring your mom, your dad, cousin, knock on the door of your neighbor. let me tell you something, the middle class depends on it. >> joining me from the battleground s
in pennsylvania, a ppp poll has president obama at 52% and mitt romney at 46%. in wisconsin, president obama at 51% and mitt romney at 48%. in iowa, president obama at 47% and mitt romney at 42%. as of this afternoon, nate silver of "the new york times" 538 blog forecasts on november 6, president obama has an 85% chance of re-election and president obama will win 307 electoral votes and mitt romney 231. earlier today, chris matthews sat down for an exclusive with vice president joe...
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in new hampshire a new poll from new england college finds president obama with a 6-point lead. that's solid. 50%/44%. in wisconsin a new poll from st. norbert college has the president up 9, 52%/43%. that's a surprise. here is a poll from that hot senate race in indiana. i love this one. joe donnelly of notre dame has an 11-point lead over richard mourdock with the libertarian candidate at 6%. speaking for the democrats, of course. we'll be right back. ♪ so you went right back to the pathfinder's essence, kept its dna, and created the next-gen s.u.v. starting with a drivetrain that gives best-in-class fuel economy of 26 miles per gallon, highway... ♪ ...and intuitive 4-wheel drive? ♪ if inside it had best-in-class front, head, and leg room and interior roominess? and outside, best-in-class standard towing of 5,000 pounds? ♪ [ whistles ] [ all scream, laugh ] [ male announcer ] yeah, that would be cool. introducing the all-new nissan pathfinder. it's our most innovative pathfinder ever. nissan. innovation that excites. ♪ >>> welcome back to "hardball." we've gotten to
in new hampshire a new poll from new england college finds president obama with a 6-point lead. that's solid. 50%/44%. in wisconsin a new poll from st. norbert college has the president up 9, 52%/43%. that's a surprise. here is a poll from that hot senate race in indiana. i love this one. joe donnelly of notre dame has an 11-point lead over richard mourdock with the libertarian candidate at 6%. speaking for the democrats, of course. we'll be right back. ♪ so you went right back to the...
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. >> a new cnn poll of likely voters in ohio shows president obama polling at 50% and mitt romney at 47%. the president made three stops in ohio today where he talked about mitt romney's lie that chrysler is moving american jobs to china. >> you've got to own what you say. this isn't a game. these are people's jobs at stake. these are people's lives. companies like g.m. and chrysler, they put a lot of time and effort and money into building up their brand and letting americans know that the american auto industry is back. and we don't want suddenly a bunch of ads saying stuff that's not true. you don't scare hard working americans just to scare up some votes. you know i tell the truth. and you know i fight for working families every single day as hard as i know how. >> president obama concluded his speech this way. >> and that's why i need you, ohio. to make sure that no matter who you are or what you look like or where you come from, what your last night is, where you started, no matter what, you can make it in america if you try. that's why i'm asking for your vote and if you're wi
. >> a new cnn poll of likely voters in ohio shows president obama polling at 50% and mitt romney at 47%. the president made three stops in ohio today where he talked about mitt romney's lie that chrysler is moving american jobs to china. >> you've got to own what you say. this isn't a game. these are people's jobs at stake. these are people's lives. companies like g.m. and chrysler, they put a lot of time and effort and money into building up their brand and letting americans know...
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romney's forces are responding to new polls showing president obama leading in swing states. up by six in iowa, up by five in ohio, and ahead in other key states, including new hampshire, be virginia, florida, wisconsin, colorado, and nevada. and today, a major endorsement coming from new york city's independent mayor michael bloomberg. no question, this is a close race but today in wisconsin the president went after one of the key points in governor romney's closing argument to voters. >> the closing weeks of this campaign, governor romney has been using all his talents as a salesman to dress up these very same policies that failed our country so badly. and he is offering them change. he's saying he's the candidate of change. well, let me tell you, wisconsin, we know what change looks like. and what the governor is offering sure ain't change. >> it sure ain't change. but governor romney is good at changing on every position and doing anything to win. on the trail, he's trying to sound warm and cuddly. he's now taking a soft attack. the new york times quoting him on the trail
romney's forces are responding to new polls showing president obama leading in swing states. up by six in iowa, up by five in ohio, and ahead in other key states, including new hampshire, be virginia, florida, wisconsin, colorado, and nevada. and today, a major endorsement coming from new york city's independent mayor michael bloomberg. no question, this is a close race but today in wisconsin the president went after one of the key points in governor romney's closing argument to voters....
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they've got to come back to the polls. the indications are they will, but we don't know for sure. >> and the that is the whole point of the obama turnout operation that has been in place now for four years. the state director, greg schultz, has been on the ground in ohio since the last campaign, the last presidential campaign in 20308, putting together this big network of 2008 voters. they're doing a pretty good job and they're feeling very good about this state. going back to the point about sandy, the local tv coverage that we've seen here has been positive for president obama, not just for some of the events he's had here. bill clinton was here yesterday. but the coverage of sandy has been positive for the president. even on local television, as i had mentioned, the coverage is relative lly positive for president obama. >> thanks to both of you who have been on the ground in ohio. back to the final jobs report, let's talk about that. the economy adding a better than expected 171,000 jobs in october. but the unemployment
they've got to come back to the polls. the indications are they will, but we don't know for sure. >> and the that is the whole point of the obama turnout operation that has been in place now for four years. the state director, greg schultz, has been on the ground in ohio since the last campaign, the last presidential campaign in 20308, putting together this big network of 2008 voters. they're doing a pretty good job and they're feeling very good about this state. going back to the point...
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in new hampshire a new poll from new england college finds president obama with a 6-point lead. that's solid. 50%/44%. in wisconsin a new poll from st. norbert college has the president up 9, 52%/43%. that's a surprise. here is a poll from that hot senate race in indiana. i love this one. joe donnelly of notre dame has an 11-point lead over richard mourdock with the libertarian candidate at 6%. speaking for the democrats, of course. we'll be right back. >>> welcome back to "hardball." we've gotten to the point in this campaign where you count hours, not days, and in this remaining precious time, you can tell where barack obama and mitt romney think this race will be won or lost. just take a look at their travel schedules through election day. for the president, colorado, iowa, wisconsin, ohio, new hampshire, virginia, and florida, of course. for governor romney, those same seven states plus his newly contested edition. he's going to pennsylvania. but zero in on today, and you can see what matters most, ohio, ohio, ohio as the late tim russert would say. three stops for the presi
in new hampshire a new poll from new england college finds president obama with a 6-point lead. that's solid. 50%/44%. in wisconsin a new poll from st. norbert college has the president up 9, 52%/43%. that's a surprise. here is a poll from that hot senate race in indiana. i love this one. joe donnelly of notre dame has an 11-point lead over richard mourdock with the libertarian candidate at 6%. speaking for the democrats, of course. we'll be right back. >>> welcome back to...
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and in wisconsin, the polling average has mr. obama ahead by more, by five points. then at 10:00 eastern time, polls will be closed in all of those states and we'll be closing polls in the 10:00 eastern time in that hour in the states that you see blinking right here. these four states. of those four states, iowa, montana, nevada, and utah, two of them are going to be watched really closely. those, of course, are iowa and nevada. the "real clear politics" polling average in iowa right now shows president obama ahead by two and in nevada president obama ahead by 2.7. then later in the night at 11:00 p.m. and then 1:00 a.m., we'll have california, hawaii, idaho, oregon, washington, and then the last poll closing in alaska. unless this is a very strange night, those races will be interesting for governors races and senate and house races and state issues, but not necessarily for the presidency. unless things go very, very differently than expected to go. this is how your election viewing is going to unfold hour by hour on tuesday night. if you just exclude the states f
and in wisconsin, the polling average has mr. obama ahead by more, by five points. then at 10:00 eastern time, polls will be closed in all of those states and we'll be closing polls in the 10:00 eastern time in that hour in the states that you see blinking right here. these four states. of those four states, iowa, montana, nevada, and utah, two of them are going to be watched really closely. those, of course, are iowa and nevada. the "real clear politics" polling average in iowa right...
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other hand, polls show obama ahead and 50%. the campaigns have an investment there and they don't take the evidence of a strong race and inclined to think although minnesota is closer than people think it's probably not going romney's way. >> nate, let's talk about ohio. the sort of premier swing state. you have made the point of a state filled with white working class voters and elsewhere turned on obama in four years and if they had in ohio like they have elsewhere this would be a pretty easy romney feat and obama's ahead by a few points and been a consistent leap. i want to run a number that jumped out at me from the cbs/"the new york times" poll. in this poll, they asked ohio, florida and virginia voters do you think things in your state, the economic conditions in your state are getting better, worse or staying the same? you look at florida, 37-25 better. virginia 39-19 better. ohio, you have the unemployment rate lower than the national average. 52% better, 17% worse. pretty big difference there. is this just a case where
other hand, polls show obama ahead and 50%. the campaigns have an investment there and they don't take the evidence of a strong race and inclined to think although minnesota is closer than people think it's probably not going romney's way. >> nate, let's talk about ohio. the sort of premier swing state. you have made the point of a state filled with white working class voters and elsewhere turned on obama in four years and if they had in ohio like they have elsewhere this would be a...
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phones in order to get votes. >> we've got to drag people to the polls. that's what they are doing. you don't have to offer them cell phones like they are doing but, by golly, take people to the polls. >> it's just not the romney supporters, today the campaign is trying to spook us just in time for halloween and a bag of dirty tricks. joining me now is president of the service union and jamal simmons a. dr simmons, a democratic, strategist. let me start with you, mary kay. are we going to see a lot more of these dirty tricks in the next six days, in your opinion, mary kay? >> yes, we are, for the reason thaw just said. they cannot repeal on voters for the economy that works for everybody. instead, they are going to distract voters by esending out these ridiculous lies and we're not having it. we have a ground game that is going to unite people to exercise their right to vote and we intend to drive a vote out that will win for the president on election day. >> now, i've been all over the country with the nonpartisan voter protection stuff and i see your gr
phones in order to get votes. >> we've got to drag people to the polls. that's what they are doing. you don't have to offer them cell phones like they are doing but, by golly, take people to the polls. >> it's just not the romney supporters, today the campaign is trying to spook us just in time for halloween and a bag of dirty tricks. joining me now is president of the service union and jamal simmons a. dr simmons, a democratic, strategist. let me start with you, mary kay. are we...
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according to our polls that you just showed in iowa, president obama has a lead. in wisconsin, it's a smaller lead. some other public polls suggest that as well. however, the romney campaign has made it adamantly clear that according to their polls in iowa, the race is dead even. so it really kind of matters where you actually see the race right now. but it's largely going to come down, as chuck pointed out, to the midwest and that's why you'll see president obama campaigning in ohio, wisconsin, iowa a lot these last five days. >> amy, let me bring you in. i know to mark's point, i believe it was one of the romney advisers or a supporter who said i think the word was "crap" when it comes to polls, at least the ones they didn't like to see. nevertheless, you can disagree with the percentage point here or there, but we've not seen a poll where governor romney is leading in a battleground state. >> no, we haven't. but he feels really good about florida. his team does. i don't think it's a double-digit lead, but they're feeling good about florida. they're feeling good
according to our polls that you just showed in iowa, president obama has a lead. in wisconsin, it's a smaller lead. some other public polls suggest that as well. however, the romney campaign has made it adamantly clear that according to their polls in iowa, the race is dead even. so it really kind of matters where you actually see the race right now. but it's largely going to come down, as chuck pointed out, to the midwest and that's why you'll see president obama campaigning in ohio,...
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first heeshgsz a look at real clear politics national average of the presidential polls. president obama is at 47.5%, governor romney stands at 47%. ♪ ♪ [ female announcer ] pop in a whole new kind of clean. with tide pods. a powerful three-in-one detergent that cleans. brightens. and fights stains just one removes more stains than the 6 next leading pacs combined pop in. stand out. campbell's has 24 new soups that will make it drop over, and over again. ♪ from jammin' jerk chicken, to creamy gouda bisque. see what's new from campbell's. it's amazing what soup can do. welcome back to the postscript. the only thing people are talking about this week is hurricane sandy from the loss of life and the impact a storm could have on this presidential election. >> i am not worried at this point about the impact on the election. i'm worried about the impact on families and i'm worried about the impact on first responders. >> a lot of people hurting this morning and hurting last night. the storm goes on. i appreciate the fact that people in dayton got up this morning, some wen
first heeshgsz a look at real clear politics national average of the presidential polls. president obama is at 47.5%, governor romney stands at 47%. ♪ ♪ [ female announcer ] pop in a whole new kind of clean. with tide pods. a powerful three-in-one detergent that cleans. brightens. and fights stains just one removes more stains than the 6 next leading pacs combined pop in. stand out. campbell's has 24 new soups that will make it drop over, and over again. ♪ from jammin' jerk chicken, to...
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president obama is winning in virginia among women. winning in those polls between 5 and 16 points. the gender gap in the persistent problem that republicans have in appealing to women because of the way republicans have governed there is having a powerful effect on the presidential race this year. stay with us. managing my diabetes is part of my life, between taking insulin and testing my blood sugar... is this part of your life? freestyle lite test strips? why, are they any... beep! wow, that hardly needs any blood! yeah... and the unique zipwik tab targets the blood and pulls it in. so easy. freestyle lite needs just a third the blood of onetouch ultra. really? yep, which is great for people who use insulin and test a lot. max and i are gonna run out and get them right now. or you can call or click today and get strips and a meter free. test easy. i'm thinking about upgrading... finally! jonathan was fine when you were in your 20s, but he's not right for you. good-bye jonathan and his creepy little girl hands. i meant... [ male announcer ] or choosing a windows 8 device with help
president obama is winning in virginia among women. winning in those polls between 5 and 16 points. the gender gap in the persistent problem that republicans have in appealing to women because of the way republicans have governed there is having a powerful effect on the presidential race this year. stay with us. managing my diabetes is part of my life, between taking insulin and testing my blood sugar... is this part of your life? freestyle lite test strips? why, are they any... beep! wow, that...
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him. >> that's why the national poll numbers are as close as it is, because barack obama is through the floor in the south. and it could end up that the south will be solid once again. it goes back to the civil war and slavery and still there. >> let many ask chuck, could it be that the president, knowing that he would never get electoral votes in the south, spend little time in the last four years cultivating a strong minority support among white voters? >> i guess i take issue he didn't do it. he spent a lot of time in north carolina and florida. i am surprised he didn't spend more time in the state of georgia, a state that is under certain scenarios, all of the growth when you look at the census, the african-american and hispanic growth in the state of georgia. there's a lot of things he could have done differently, when it comes to building different and better coalitions in washington, finding his own versions of moderate republicans to come with him. the question is, did he learn lessons if he wins a second term? and maybe are there better ways of building coalitions outside o
him. >> that's why the national poll numbers are as close as it is, because barack obama is through the floor in the south. and it could end up that the south will be solid once again. it goes back to the civil war and slavery and still there. >> let many ask chuck, could it be that the president, knowing that he would never get electoral votes in the south, spend little time in the last four years cultivating a strong minority support among white voters? >> i guess i take...
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the latest nbc news "wall street journal" m.arist poll shows president obama holding on a six-point lead among likely voters in the buckeye state. meanwhile in florida an creamily tight race there two points separating the candidates with the president ahead in the sunshine states 49 to 47%. so much of this race, of course, depends on these two states. ohio and florida. for some insight i want to bring in our nbc news deputy political editor. let's start with ohio good friend. if mitt romney can't win in ohio what would his path to 270, what would his path to victory have to look like. >> makes it very narrow for mitt romney. if president obama wins ohio he's at 261 electoral votes based on our battleground map. if mitt romney gets virginia and florida he's stuck to 248. new hampshire where he owns a home but the president probably a finger on the scale now we're at 261-261 and we've been talking all along about the midwest and importance of ohio, wisconsin and iowa and the necessity for mitt romney to win two of those three. look at that right there. you got those 16 electoral votes bet
the latest nbc news "wall street journal" m.arist poll shows president obama holding on a six-point lead among likely voters in the buckeye state. meanwhile in florida an creamily tight race there two points separating the candidates with the president ahead in the sunshine states 49 to 47%. so much of this race, of course, depends on these two states. ohio and florida. for some insight i want to bring in our nbc news deputy political editor. let's start with ohio good friend. if mitt...
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we're within striking distance but the polls show president obama with a five-point lead. some had it smaller. >> quickly, they say the economy is improving and according to the polls most give president obama a credit for. >> we're actually seeing that people voting for president obama supporting him in polls optimistic and bullish on the state of the economy. if you're a romney voter or you're leaning towards romney in the polls probably have the opposite view. that's where we're going to see in the exit polls come november 6th. >> all right. thank you very much. we appreciate it. taking the audience to breaking news. new video, president obama walking off the helicopter after the aerial tour of new jersey with governor chris christie right there who's certainly been praising the president's response to the storm. we'll hear from the two of them likely within the hour. or very soon. about to take a ground tour. imagine they're talking with people who lost everything or much of what they have. so we'll bring it to you. another image of the day likely the image so many wil
we're within striking distance but the polls show president obama with a five-point lead. some had it smaller. >> quickly, they say the economy is improving and according to the polls most give president obama a credit for. >> we're actually seeing that people voting for president obama supporting him in polls optimistic and bullish on the state of the economy. if you're a romney voter or you're leaning towards romney in the polls probably have the opposite view. that's where we're...
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the latest ohio poll shows romney trailing president obama badly on whether the candidate cares about the needs of people like you. president obama also leads on who is better at helping the middle class. president obama also leads romney by five points in ohio, in large part because romney's 47% problems just continue to haunt him. it is halloween, isn't it? let's bring in msnbc contributor, e.j. dionne, who is also a "washington post" columnist and author of the book, "our divided political heart." you know, this storm, as devastating as it is, e.j., it seems to have created some real problems for the romney campaign. it's almost as if you see them, and they are thing, and you can see them thinking out loud, oh, no, now what do we do? staging events. i mean, how low does it get? your thoughts? >> well, first of all, i would like to send my love out to my wife's family in rockaway queens, the neighborhood right on the ocean that got hammered. it's a great area and those folks are having a tough time right now. and i think this storm presented romneys with a slew of problems, and that
the latest ohio poll shows romney trailing president obama badly on whether the candidate cares about the needs of people like you. president obama also leads on who is better at helping the middle class. president obama also leads romney by five points in ohio, in large part because romney's 47% problems just continue to haunt him. it is halloween, isn't it? let's bring in msnbc contributor, e.j. dionne, who is also a "washington post" columnist and author of the book, "our...
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president obama is winning in virginia among women. winning in those polls between 5 and 16 points. the gender gap in the persistent problem that republicans have in appealing to women because of the way republicans have governed there is having a powerful effect on the presidential race this year. stay with us. as prilosec otc. now with a fancy coating that gives you a burst of wildberry flavor. now why make a flavored heartburn pill? because this is america. and we don't just make things you want, we make things you didn't even know you wanted. like a spoon fork. spray cheese. and jeans made out of sweatpants. so grab yourself some new prilosec otc wildberry. [ male announcer ] one pill each morning. 24 hours. zero heartburn. satisfaction guaranteed or your money back. i have a cold... i took dayquil, but i still have a runny nose. [ male announcer ] truth is, dayquil doesn't work on runny noses. what? [ male announcer ] it doesn't have an antihistamine. really? [ male announcer ] really. alka-seltzer plus cold and cough fights your worst cold symptoms, plus has a fast acting anti
president obama is winning in virginia among women. winning in those polls between 5 and 16 points. the gender gap in the persistent problem that republicans have in appealing to women because of the way republicans have governed there is having a powerful effect on the presidential race this year. stay with us. as prilosec otc. now with a fancy coating that gives you a burst of wildberry flavor. now why make a flavored heartburn pill? because this is america. and we don't just make things you...
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in iowa our poll has president obama up by six, 50%, 44%. in colorado a new cnn/opinion research poll shows the president leading by two. finally to michigan where a new epic poll shows the president ahead by six, 48%, 42%. we'll be right back. >>> for the past few days all of us have been focused on one of the worst storms in our lifetimes, and we're awed and humbled by nature's destructive power. i was out in new jersey yesterday and saw the devastation, and you really get a sense of, you know, how difficult this is going to be for a lot, a lot of people. >> welcome back to "hardball." that was president obama earlier today. voters are overwhelmingly supportive of his handling of the storm. a "washington post"/abc poll shows 78% give him a positive rating for his efforts these past few days. during his re-election pause, if you call it that, mr. obama reminded americans he has presidential duties and also found a couple unlikely friends along the way, one being new jersey governor chris christie and now tonight a big one, new york mayor mi
in iowa our poll has president obama up by six, 50%, 44%. in colorado a new cnn/opinion research poll shows the president leading by two. finally to michigan where a new epic poll shows the president ahead by six, 48%, 42%. we'll be right back. >>> for the past few days all of us have been focused on one of the worst storms in our lifetimes, and we're awed and humbled by nature's destructive power. i was out in new jersey yesterday and saw the devastation, and you really get a sense...
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and a new npr poll has romney up one, 48/47 but the npr poll also finds that president obama has a four-point lead in the battleground states, 50-46. we'll be right back. this is hayden. he's five years old. that's elizabeth. and that's skyler... and his mom, nancy. they're just a few of the californians who took it on themselves to send you a message about what they need to restore years of cuts to their schools. prop thirty-eight. thirty-eight raises billions in new revenue - bypasses sacramento and sends every k through 12 dollar straight to our local schools... every school. for them. for all of us. vote yes on thirty-eight. joe," and i will shave off my mustache of 40 years if we lose any of those three states. >> welcome back to "hardball." that was, of course, david axelrod, famous for his mustache. he's with the obama campaign, sounding very bullish i should say on their chances, obama's chance of carrying michigan, minnesota, and of course, pennsylvania. these three states haven't been given much time or attention by the media or the money spenders until lately. and that's because th
and a new npr poll has romney up one, 48/47 but the npr poll also finds that president obama has a four-point lead in the battleground states, 50-46. we'll be right back. this is hayden. he's five years old. that's elizabeth. and that's skyler... and his mom, nancy. they're just a few of the californians who took it on themselves to send you a message about what they need to restore years of cuts to their schools. prop thirty-eight. thirty-eight raises billions in new revenue - bypasses...
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our poll gives the path six-point lead in iowa. obama three points ahead in wisconsin. that is within the margin of error. two in new hampshire. again, within the margin of error there. the 2% difference. the president at 49% in all three of these states. this after a poll yesterday had him five points ahead in ohio. is there any way for mitt romney to overcome this fire wall that seems to be pretty firm in president obama's favor? >> yes, if the polls are wrong. most of these polls are likely voter models. the polls are making the assumption with the turnout, what the shape of the electorate is going to be on election day. if that model is wrong, you have a major problem. you could have more republicans turning out and fewer democrats turning out. if the demographics are wrong, the same thing. this has been a very difficult -- i'm going to be honest, a very difficult election for me to get a handle on because you see this continuing schism between the national polls which show a tied race or a small, narrow romney lead in the key battlegrounds where you can show presid
our poll gives the path six-point lead in iowa. obama three points ahead in wisconsin. that is within the margin of error. two in new hampshire. again, within the margin of error there. the 2% difference. the president at 49% in all three of these states. this after a poll yesterday had him five points ahead in ohio. is there any way for mitt romney to overcome this fire wall that seems to be pretty firm in president obama's favor? >> yes, if the polls are wrong. most of these polls are...
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in iowa our poll has president obama up by six, 50%, 44%. in colorado a new cnn/opinion rerve poll shows preb leading by two. finally to michigan where a new epic poll shows the president ahead by six, 48%, 42%. we'll be right back. with the , the next... stop, stop, stop! my car! not so much. but that's okay. you're covered with great ideas like optional better car replacement from liberty mutual insurance. total your car, and we give you the money to buy one a model year newer. learn about it at libertymutual.com. liberty mutual insurance. responsibility -- what's your policy? >>> for the past few days all of us have been focused on one of the worst storms in our lifetimes, and we're awed and humbled by nature's destructive power. i was out in new jersey yesterday and saw the devastation, and you really get a sense of, you know, how difficult this is going to be for a lot, a lot of people. >> welcome back to "hardball." that was president obama earlier today. voters are overwhelmingly supportive of his handling of the storm. a "washington
in iowa our poll has president obama up by six, 50%, 44%. in colorado a new cnn/opinion rerve poll shows preb leading by two. finally to michigan where a new epic poll shows the president ahead by six, 48%, 42%. we'll be right back. with the , the next... stop, stop, stop! my car! not so much. but that's okay. you're covered with great ideas like optional better car replacement from liberty mutual insurance. total your car, and we give you the money to buy one a model year newer. learn about it...
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there were a slew of battleground state polls including in ohio that showed obama ahead. there did seem to be momentum that he had had. and i think most importantly when you actually look back at hurricane sandy, and of course we don't know how election night is going to turn out, but it did freeze the romney campaign in place. and there wasn't a lot of talk of mitt romney for two or three weeks. he was the candidate who had the momentum. he was beginning to make his closing argument. and then hurricane sandy hit, and it froze that. and then the campaign began just a couple of days later. >> which is interesting, marc, because you often hear, and i want all of you to comment on this. any sport they say you don't want to peak too soon. with the unknown variable of the storm allowing the president to peak at this time, you do wonder without sandy, where would this race be tonight? >> you mean this is like one of the football games where the last team with the ball wins essentially? >> well, the overtime stats, the person with the first touch on the ball wins most of the tim
there were a slew of battleground state polls including in ohio that showed obama ahead. there did seem to be momentum that he had had. and i think most importantly when you actually look back at hurricane sandy, and of course we don't know how election night is going to turn out, but it did freeze the romney campaign in place. and there wasn't a lot of talk of mitt romney for two or three weeks. he was the candidate who had the momentum. he was beginning to make his closing argument. and then...
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, lean obama at the end of the september. we have seen absolutely no reason to change it. we see absolutely no reason to change it now. sometimes groups at rates overreact to a single private tracking number that may be shared by a campaign. as far as i'm concerned, while private trackings are good, many of the public polls are equally good. and under treat a private tracking number from a campaign or a polling source exactly the same as you would a public poll with a responsible sponsor. so i don't react as strongly as some people do to a private tracking number. >> one place where the obama campaign is not letting up yet is -- they sent bill clinton there today. this is him earlier this morning. >> i hear all these people say, oh, i was so enthusiastic four years ago. i had so much hope for change. and i'm disappointed. let me tell you something, i may be the only person in america, but i am far more enthusiastic about president obama this time than i was four years ago. >> larry, so on your map, you have florida as leaning
, lean obama at the end of the september. we have seen absolutely no reason to change it. we see absolutely no reason to change it now. sometimes groups at rates overreact to a single private tracking number that may be shared by a campaign. as far as i'm concerned, while private trackings are good, many of the public polls are equally good. and under treat a private tracking number from a campaign or a polling source exactly the same as you would a public poll with a responsible sponsor. so i...
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and obama has a kiconsistent le in the polling there. by the way, something i'd love to know is what is the value of a candidate's appearance in a state? i asked somebody who spends a lot of time crunching numbers, looking at the polls in an analytical way. he said that it's very blurry, but i would just love to know how much of a bounce do you really get from a visit to a state? it's kind of a mystery to me. >> yeah. >> michael, i think when you look at obama in '08 and then again in 2012, he seems to have the luck of the irish, once again, a pre-election-day crisis that fits into his themes in '08, obviously the financial crisis made him look cool and calm under pressure. and this time we have a crisis that makes him look like, you know, that highlights his themes of we don't leave anybody behind. government should be there for people had they are most vulnerable. i mean, does this guy have the luck of the irish here or what? >> right. well, he does have some distant irish relatives. >> right. >> right. >> remember that correctly from
and obama has a kiconsistent le in the polling there. by the way, something i'd love to know is what is the value of a candidate's appearance in a state? i asked somebody who spends a lot of time crunching numbers, looking at the polls in an analytical way. he said that it's very blurry, but i would just love to know how much of a bounce do you really get from a visit to a state? it's kind of a mystery to me. >> yeah. >> michael, i think when you look at obama in '08 and then again...
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the obama campaign tells me that he's consistently led two to four points in their internal polling. you might say it's spin, but these two campaigns are seeing very different data. >> do you trust these people that are giving you these numbers? are they just giving you numbers, or do you really believe them? which of these people are the most credible when it comes to numbers when you match them up against other evidence? >> one of the things that the romney campaign was suggesting, just about an hour ago on a conference call that they had, the romney pollster, neil newhouse, was saying that he doesn't buy some of these national polls, because he was just pointing out that the quinnipiac "new york times" poll, and said that was weighted more heavily toward registered voters than likely voters and thought that it sort of overshowed a little bit of enthusiasm for democrats, and i keep hearing this over and over again, from republicans, chris, and that is, they don't believe that obama voters will turn out as much as the obama campaign expects. these sides do believe very different thi
the obama campaign tells me that he's consistently led two to four points in their internal polling. you might say it's spin, but these two campaigns are seeing very different data. >> do you trust these people that are giving you these numbers? are they just giving you numbers, or do you really believe them? which of these people are the most credible when it comes to numbers when you match them up against other evidence? >> one of the things that the romney campaign was...